IT's not realyl a statistical term, more my own. It's how far from the league average performance the player is in regards to turning their underlyig data (such as shots, shots on target, key passes) into real FPL points. Vast majority of players are on the line of best fit and have a deviation value of between +3 and -3. Some players have really amassed FPL pts without having the number of shots typically seen to get that many points. e.g. Dzeko DEV= +13. Some players have great shot stats but have not managed goals/points e.g. Jelavic DEV = -7 . I'm going to do a seperate post about this to explain some more in the next week or two.
How often do you update this table? Can you also leave projected points in the raw data for each of the 10 weeks starting from the current GW? Also, is it possible to have maybe another table which gives comparison for past weeks between projected and actual points.
Table is updated every week. Updated it for GW24 to 33 today. Thank you for such positive feedback. I'll add in the individual gameweeks data as soon as I can. I did this originally but it's a bit too confusing for a "quick look". I'll find a way to provide both the sumamry and individual.
What is average deviations mean to this data? sorry little knowledge on statistic term.
ReplyDeleteIT's not realyl a statistical term, more my own. It's how far from the league average performance the player is in regards to turning their underlyig data (such as shots, shots on target, key passes) into real FPL points. Vast majority of players are on the line of best fit and have a deviation value of between +3 and -3. Some players have really amassed FPL pts without having the number of shots typically seen to get that many points. e.g. Dzeko DEV= +13. Some players have great shot stats but have not managed goals/points e.g. Jelavic DEV = -7 . I'm going to do a seperate post about this to explain some more in the next week or two.
ReplyDeleteWow~ Now it makes more sense. excellent!! I'll wait for your post. my wildcard decision is mostly base on your projections. Excellent Work!
ReplyDeleteHi, Nice work witht he website and your math!
ReplyDeleteHow often do you update this table?
Can you also leave projected points in the raw data for each of the 10 weeks starting from the current GW?
Also, is it possible to have maybe another table which gives comparison for past weeks between projected and actual points.
Thanks!
Table is updated every week. Updated it for GW24 to 33 today. Thank you for such positive feedback. I'll add in the individual gameweeks data as soon as I can. I did this originally but it's a bit too confusing for a "quick look". I'll find a way to provide both the sumamry and individual.
ReplyDeleteAwesome, cheers! Individual weeks as an option can be shown in raw data only. How about actual points vs projected - will you be able to add them in?
DeleteWill see what I can do about comparing projections to actual. Needs to be done!!
Deletebeen trying to keep in mind with most of what you said , this is what my team looks like for the weekend :
ReplyDeletehttp://madjacquedisease.blogspot.in/2013/04/fantasy-football-gameweek-36-part-deux.html